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Meandering front brings increased storm activity this weekend

Chance for some isolated severe storms and flash floods across the Panhandle and North Florida.

Beneficial rain will continue to impact Florida’s Panhandle and North Florida throughout the weekend.

Flash floods will be possible across the western portion of Florida's Panhandle.

A cold front is gradually weakening as it pushes southward across the state. Even so, the front will bring numerous showers and the chance for an isolated severe thunderstorm on Saturday, especially along the Interstate 10 corridor. Showers and thunderstorms will move intermittently from west to east across the region throughout the day.

On Sunday, the front stays meandering nearby, slowly inching closer to Central Florida. This will allow isolated thunderstorms to develop along the northern fringe of Central Florida, while showers and thunderstorms continue to impact much of the Panhandle and North Florida. Periods of rain and storms are expected on and off through the day. Any thunderstorms that become severe could produce isolated tornadoes, small hail, and damaging wind gusts of at least 58 mph.

Isolated severe storms Saturday night through Monday across the same general area.

Rainfall totals across the region could range from 3 to 5 inches through the weekend. These totals will be beneficial for North Florida and the Panhandle, where drought conditions remain in the extreme-to-exceptional category.

Rainfall between Saturday and Tuesday morning.

However, it is important to keep in mind that parts of the western Panhandle, including the Tallahassee area, have already received rainfall over the past several days. Because of this, any heavier downpours that repeatedly move over the same locations, or storms capable of producing high rainfall rates in a short period, could lead to localized flooding.

Drought monitor report released on Thursday, May 7, still shows the worst drought happening over the Panhandle and North Florida.

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Irene Sans is an Emmy-winning, AMS-certified meteorologist (CBM, CDM) with more than 15 years of experience covering severe weather and climate stories across the U.S. and Latin America. A bilingual communicator and digital leader, she has delivered forecasts and science content for TV, radio, social media, and top weather platforms including Weather & Radar, WFTV, Telemundo, and The Weather Company. She has also served as Deputy State Meteorologist for Florida and consulted internationally on tropical forecasting and climate communications.
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